-Mitt Romney leads our new New Hampshire poll 49-48. Obama had led by 6-8 pts in our polling before the first debate

-Romney has a 52/45 advantage over Obama in New Hampshire on the economy

-NH voters think Obama won debate by 8 pts, still support Romney by 1. Democrats need to accept debate this week was not a big game changer

-Romney leads Obama 49-48 in Iowa as well, although Obama does have a 66/32 early vote lead there

-Iowa voters think Obama won this week’s debate 45/36, similar to New Hampshire, but not having a big impact on the head to head

-We’ve found most of Obama’s October drop has been with white voters, so makes sense he’s had a particularly big decline in IA and NH

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